Polished-Tract
0x61be8d9cffbf371bca58189013c9bf83c914a946
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
128
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.1K
Realised
$-4.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 128- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2?
427 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $107K and $108K on May 30 at 5 PM ET?
425 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $118K on August 1?
250 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 24?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103K on June 24 at 5PM ET?
210 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-32.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on June 14 at 5 PM ET?
208 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 21?
200 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 13?
182 shares @ 16.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on June 19 at 5 PM ET?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 19, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$9.39Feb 3, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$10.00Feb 3, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 4AM ET$6.00Feb 3, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$5.00Feb 2, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on February 3?$8.32Feb 2, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET$12.00Feb 2, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET$7.00Feb 2, 21:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3PM ET$10.70Feb 2, 20:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3PM ET$6.00Feb 2, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2PM ET$17.34Feb 2, 19:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2PM ET$11.00Feb 2, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 24?$12.00Jan 23, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7AM ET$19.20Jan 23, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 7AM ET$10.00Jan 23, 11:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12PM ET$21.98Jan 22, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 12PM ET$11.00Jan 22, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 5AM ET$11.00Jan 17, 09:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$8.36Jan 16, 19:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 17?$11.00Jan 16, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on January 16?$11.00Jan 15, 18:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $10.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 25, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 3, 15:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.