0x61cf726d35dc24889b78168b993a8ab9dee055cf
0x61cf726d35dc24889b78168b993a8ab9dee055cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$45.83
Total PnL
$-93.46
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?
33 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$33.33
$14.33
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?
13 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$12.50
$7.75
- YES
Will the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?
310 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?
265 shares @ 30.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-80.43
- YES
Will the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more?
201 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?
70 shares @ 43.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-30.38
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Seattle Seahawks win the NFC West?$4.75Nov 9, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?$19.00Nov 6, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?$0.03Nov 6, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$14.95Nov 6, 08:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 5?$30.38Nov 6, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$41.56Nov 6, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$81.00Nov 6, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Arizona Cardinals win the NFC West?$1.23Nov 5, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$38.87Nov 5, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?$39.84Nov 5, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYLarger Margin of Victory: Mamdani vs Prop 50?$10.89Nov 5, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$9.99Nov 5, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$0.84Nov 5, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 10-20%?$12.60Nov 4, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?$17.20Nov 4, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?$5.25Nov 2, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?$5.10Nov 2, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the California redistricting referendum pass by 40% or more?$3.50Oct 31, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$3.60Oct 31, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be between 33–36%?$9.30Oct 31, 22:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $11.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 11, 20:14 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 9, 19:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.