Loving-Baggy
0x61d49850271cd3a17ac0271dfbc3e5017a0a05a3
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$40.16
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-63.59
Win rate
0%
191 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?
33 shares @ 31.7¢·now 57.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$18.75
$8.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?
52 shares @ 43.8¢·now 28.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$14.82
$-7.95
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 22?
133 shares @ 5.1¢·now 2.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.33
$-3.43
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?
68 shares @ 19.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$3.06
$-10.01
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 97°F or below on August 22?
313 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.16
$-1.86
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 22?
122 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 22, 2026$0.06
$-3.42
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 10PM ET
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 2AM ET
100 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 1, 1AM ET
81 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-9.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$2.10Aug 22, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$2.10Aug 22, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$1.11Aug 22, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$4.55Aug 22, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$8.00Aug 22, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.10Aug 22, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$2.11Aug 22, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.06Aug 22, 02:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$15.79Aug 22, 02:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$3.17Aug 22, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 99°F or below on August 21?$28.46Aug 22, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$3.17Aug 22, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$1.22Aug 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$0.87Aug 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$1.24Aug 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 106-107°F on August 22?$1.47Aug 21, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$2.10Aug 21, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 104-105°F on August 22?$3.08Aug 21, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 22?$2.08Aug 21, 22:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 22?$1.10Aug 21, 22:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
60/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 191 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
191 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $3.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 08:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 191 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.