Identical-Closure
0x61e0508c294c666aad4c09947725ad8bf7dd9117
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-171.17
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 4?
226 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.81
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on January 31?
189 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
DAX (DAX) Up or Down on March 3?
169 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-3.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C or higher on March 2?
155 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.71
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?
127 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on January 23?
122 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 31?
108 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.41
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 22?
108 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.38
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 20?
91 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.20
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 28?
90 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.06
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 11?$184.71Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 11?$182.86Jul 10, 23:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 4?$1.94Jun 3, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?$185.28Jun 1, 02:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 31?$183.61May 30, 16:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of April 13 2026?$25.10May 23, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$48.55May 16, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 14?$1.63May 13, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 12?$2.42May 11, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 11?$1.82May 10, 16:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$171.40May 10, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 24?$0.00May 1, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on January 27?$0.00Apr 19, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 Week of April 13 2026?$22.69Apr 17, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 16?$4.09Apr 16, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$0.29Apr 12, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$169.57Apr 12, 22:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$175.49Apr 12, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$0.20Apr 11, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on April 12?$172.31Apr 11, 16:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $53.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 08:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 11, 16:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.