Finished-Fax
0x61e298b96ba63f542187f689c9e7ba56dce055ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill trump tweet 1-2 times Nov 29-Dec 6?$0.50Dec 6, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBrian Thompson Perp arrested on Thursday?$1.10Dec 6, 07:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Primoz Roglic win the 2024 Tour de France?$0.00Dec 6, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMMore border encounters in March vs. Feb?$0.00Dec 6, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Primoz Roglic win the 2024 Tour de France?$1.30Jul 20, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLSenate control after 2024 election?$49.34Mar 21, 15:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March?$0.89Mar 21, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMore border encounters in March vs. Feb?$1.49Mar 21, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden to drop out before April?$102.09Mar 21, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenate control after 2024 election?$50.00Mar 21, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum ETF approved by end of March?$0.36Mar 21, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTether Insolvent in 2024?$105.77Mar 21, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump and Biden both win nomination?$100.77Mar 21, 15:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump be Speaker by April 1?$0.84Mar 21, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYTether Insolvent in 2024?$106.00Mar 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum ETF approved by end of March?$1.45Mar 21, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelensky remain President of Ukraine through March?$1.78Mar 21, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump and Biden both win nomination?$102.00Mar 21, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden to drop out before April?$102.20Mar 21, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be Speaker by April 1?$1.20Mar 21, 09:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
18 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $40.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 09:06 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 6, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.