Serious-View
0x61e2a64ed1228bb34ea4fdcec065d45797d159c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-518.37
Realised
$199.77
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Lighter FDV above $1B one day after launch?
4544 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-35.29
- NO
Lighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?
2900 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-175.03
- NO
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
1381 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-156.79
- YES
Will the ECB announce an increase at the December meeting?
1269 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
1121 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.89
- YES
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds?
1100 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.40
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
1059 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-92.00
- YES
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the December meeting?
1013 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Pump.fun all time high by December 31?
609 shares @ 17.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-108.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
554 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-43.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$45.00Jan 6, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$3.00Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$21.50Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$10.00Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$2.50Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$2.50Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$8.00Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$2.50Jan 6, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$41.30Jan 6, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$7.85Jan 6, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$0.79Jan 6, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Real Madrid$35.36Jan 6, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$12.87Dec 31, 09:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$0.52Dec 30, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.50Dec 30, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$3.02Dec 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.60Dec 30, 23:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter FDV above $2B one day after launch?$5.95Dec 30, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.70Dec 30, 20:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2.70Dec 30, 20:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 30, 07:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 6, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".