Happy-Catch
0x61e3b1b2a250eb8c32f5c6ee248a62156d4defe2
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$85.08
Total PnL
$-14.05
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?
85 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$85.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on January 4?
1100 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 16?
1070 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.14
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on November 22?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?
750 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.50
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?
489 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16?
300 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 31?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?$85.00May 27, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$85.08May 26, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 22?$85.01May 22, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$85.09May 22, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 17?$85.01May 17, 02:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?$85.08May 17, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 13?$85.01May 11, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 11?$2.14May 11, 09:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$87.09May 11, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 7?$87.01May 6, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$87.17May 6, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$87.01May 2, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?$87.08May 2, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 26?$87.00Apr 25, 12:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?$87.08Apr 25, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 20?$87.00Apr 20, 11:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17?$87.08Apr 20, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on April 17?$87.00Apr 16, 12:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$86.08Apr 16, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 12?$86.00Apr 12, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $77.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 12:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".