0x61e562235a327ca2785c5e52d3ade3eec1c87bd5
0x61e562235a327ca2785c5e52d3ade3eec1c87bd5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- RADTKE
Malott vs. Radtke
1000 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2025$0.00
$-390.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on May 13?
835 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-417.50
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in March?
415 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-141.10
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "inflation" 60 or more times during the May meeting?
290 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-182.70
- HERBERT
Jai Herbert vs. Chris Padilla
185 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2025$0.00
$-92.50
- YES
Will Crystal Palace vs. Aston Villa end in a draw?
105 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2025$0.00
$-30.45
- UP
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?
100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2025$0.00
$-50.00
- LIQUID
IEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ
95 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2025$0.00
$-31.35
- YES
Will Juventus vs. PSV Eindhoven end in a draw?
95 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2025$0.00
$-25.65
- NO
Will Trump say "Africa" during Meloni visit on April 17?
70 shares @ 68.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-47.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?$1.10May 24, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win on 2025-05-25?$1.10May 24, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: Liquid vs. MOUZ$31.35May 20, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$32.30May 20, 08:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during events with South African President on May 21?$32.30May 20, 08:19 UTC
- TRADESELLIEM Dallas: Aurora vs. HEROIC$9.20May 19, 13:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2400 and $2500 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?$4.00May 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYIEM Dallas: Aurora vs. HEROIC$9.20May 19, 11:58 UTC
- TRADESELLHyperliquid Up or Down on May 20?$35.00May 19, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down on May 20?$5.00May 19, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down on May 20?$30.00May 19, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini$35.00May 19, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs. Jasmine Paolini$11.90May 17, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYETH/BTC Up or Down on May 17?$50.00May 16, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$62.70May 16, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?$64.60May 16, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Powell say "China" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$65.00May 16, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Jasmine Paolini vs. Peyton Stearns$10.85May 15, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "China" during Framework Review speech on May 15?$44.85May 14, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLInternazionali BNL d'Italia: Aryna Sabalenka vs. Qinwen Zheng$55.90May 14, 13:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $82.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 03:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 11:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.