Immaterial-Grill
0x61ee491d92d5bdee63bf05092b3435f65086304c
Wallet digest
Activity score
39/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.0K
Realised
$-4.8K
Win rate
24%
200 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
341 shares @ 65.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-222.46
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
257 shares @ 25.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-65.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
250 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-3.21
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
204 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-33.68
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
201 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-23.02
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
182 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-25.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
175 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 28, 2025$0.00
$-36.20
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 26, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
161 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-42.98
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
144 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-31.09
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 26, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
140 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.88Jan 22, 05:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.96Jan 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.58Jan 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$0.84Jan 22, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$1.54Jan 22, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.43Jan 22, 04:58 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Jan 22, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$2.00Jan 22, 04:53 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$20.00Jan 22, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.20Jan 22, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$24.70Jan 22, 04:45 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$20.00Jan 22, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.50Jan 22, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$1.20Jan 22, 04:39 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$20.00Jan 22, 04:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$11.40Jan 22, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.30Jan 22, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$7.60Jan 22, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$0.96Jan 22, 04:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$2.00Jan 22, 04:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
24% win rate over 200 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
200 closed markets, 24% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 11:09 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 22, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 200 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.