Unwelcome-Puzzle
0x61f142a9659713833a4a20369d02eabbdeb5c624
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.14
Total PnL
$-0.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
12 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.01
$0.91
- YES
Will Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$2.04
$0.04
- NO
Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March?
1 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Costco Wholesale (COST) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Kamala Harris say "Education" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$10.10Mar 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in March?$1.00Mar 6, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?$1.00Mar 6, 15:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.01Mar 6, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$11.01Mar 6, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lê Minh Hưng be the next Prime Minister of Vietnam?$2.00Jan 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$3.00Jan 24, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?$11.00Jan 24, 14:08 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro out in 2025?$1.03Jan 24, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.35Jan 24, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$2.06Jan 24, 14:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?$11.17Jan 24, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Venezuela by December 31?$2.00Dec 21, 08:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.02Dec 21, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$2.04Dec 21, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro out in 2025?$1.00Dec 21, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?$2.00Nov 23, 09:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?$1.00Nov 23, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.02Nov 23, 09:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $8000 in October?$2.99Nov 23, 09:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $3.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 24, 07:14 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 15:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.