Polite-Mother
0x61fbcdab2bcf08ab25e46207ee33d8968d4187a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$860.10
Total PnL
$-25.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?
530 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$530.10
$0.63
- NO
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?
330 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$330.00
$1.65
- YES
Will the Pelicans draft Cooper Flagg in the 2025 NBA Draft?
563 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?
549 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?
522 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?
380 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in September?
370 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.22
- YES
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?
324 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2025$0.00
$-3.10
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?
260 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?
243 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-2.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?$328.35Mar 29, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 26 to March 28, 2026?$1.52Mar 27, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bud Cauley win the 2026 Texas Children's Houston Open?$529.47Mar 24, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?$7.80Mar 14, 14:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?$1.82Nov 29, 18:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 13?$330.00Nov 19, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 13?$329.67Nov 10, 12:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?$280.00Oct 29, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$290.17Oct 29, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?$310.00Oct 29, 06:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?$340.00Oct 29, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?$2.20Oct 14, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025?$3.11Oct 5, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $125K in September?$2.22Sep 26, 12:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PDC win the most seats in the next Bolivia Chamber of Deputies election?$1.36Aug 10, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?$281.30Aug 1, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?$309.38Jul 23, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series?$277.76Jul 4, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Williams be the 2025 Constructors Champion?$1.2KJun 23, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Pelicans draft Cooper Flagg in the 2025 NBA Draft?$1.92Jun 22, 10:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $572.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 1, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 29, 14:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".