Critical-Public
0x61fc36257a5e536c6ea41cb2f6389c2fe8c2e187
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-546.00
Realised
$-157.64
Win rate
0%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on December 7?
283 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will Solana reach $150 December 1-7?
261 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.17
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on December 7?
259 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-3.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 10?
257 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-2.57
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 18?
244 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down on January 17?
229 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.03
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?
228 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.82
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 27?
224 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.57
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 28?
223 shares @ 26.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-59.48
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 4AM ET
197 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on July 29?$3.51Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?$91.07Jul 9, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9?$87.79Jul 8, 22:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 3?$1.32Jun 3, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$77.31May 31, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 30?$74.91May 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 27?$2.36May 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26?$1.95May 26, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 22?$1.44May 21, 18:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$88.70May 19, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 19?$87.28May 19, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on May 18?$2.08May 18, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$79.29May 10, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 10?$77.07May 9, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 31?$92.39May 1, 14:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 8?$0.00Apr 20, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 12?$2.46Apr 11, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 26?$0.00Apr 11, 20:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 5?$0.00Apr 1, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.30 on March 31?$88.14Mar 31, 14:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 24, 09:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 19:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.