Untimely-Trustee
0x62000360dfae25f34fed64d8e43d8d69e411e6e3
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
48
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.3K
Realised
$-116.67
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 48- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
56500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-160.18
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
24007 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-542.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
1185 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-59.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
503 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-15.15
- YES
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 10, 2026?
500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
436 shares @ 36.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-160.07
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
255 shares @ 77.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-198.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
206 shares @ 47.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-98.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$86.45Mar 22, 20:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$87.54Mar 22, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$67.41Mar 22, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 20:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 22, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$5.00Mar 22, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$72.45Mar 22, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$52.48Mar 22, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$52.50Mar 22, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$34.39Mar 22, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$34.39Mar 22, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$27.40Mar 22, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$27.39Mar 22, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$15.18Mar 22, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$15.19Mar 22, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$125.67Mar 22, 19:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$1.18Mar 22, 19:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$10.00Mar 22, 19:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$20.30Mar 22, 19:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
11% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $26.92
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 18:21 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 20:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.