Incomplete-Wardrobe
0x620240e5699681ec6aa474b7f6b2988d361fa1fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.1K
Realised
$93.72
Win rate
62%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
992 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-198.44
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
649 shares @ 46.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
606 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-299.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
605 shares @ 50.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-305.39
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
555 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
515 shares @ 75.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$0.00
$-390.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET
421 shares @ 47.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 8, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
364 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 11, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will Coinbase be accused of insider trading?
339 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$3.02Aug 10, 04:38 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.61Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$147.65Jul 27, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$102.31Jul 27, 11:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$191.58Jul 27, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$132.99Jul 27, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$16.00Jul 27, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$51.43Jul 27, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$121.30Jul 27, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$102.75Jul 27, 11:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$28.16Jul 27, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$31.36Jul 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$31.22Jul 27, 10:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$74.83Jul 27, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$71.32Jul 27, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$64.52Jul 27, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$51.61Jul 27, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$147.87Jul 27, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$103.21Jul 27, 10:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$0.00Jul 27, 10:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
47/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
62% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $52.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 27, 08:31 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 04:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.