Darling-Compensation
0x6203cdfedf075d05dcc419266169f5b68ba5b399
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$628.71
Total PnL
$-1.6K
Realised
$0.22
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
699 shares @ 90.3¢·now 90.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$628.71
$-1.97
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?
1050 shares @ 79.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-836.98
- YES
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?
870 shares @ 55.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-480.64
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?
466 shares @ 68.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-319.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$64.90Jan 19, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$62.00Jan 19, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$33.00Jan 18, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$28.70Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$29.40Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$27.95Jan 15, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$26.40Jan 15, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$25.50Jan 15, 17:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$30.00Jan 14, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$26.00Jan 14, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$5.30Jan 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$2.29Jan 13, 22:34 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$158.00Jan 13, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$13.81Jan 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$39.00Jan 13, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$36.00Jan 13, 10:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$37.00Jan 13, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$5.64Jan 13, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$4.53Jan 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28?$0.79Jan 11, 20:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $40.02
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 7, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 09:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.