0x62050773894beac495d63987e8af1a2b07c0c58a
0x62050773894beac495d63987e8af1a2b07c0c58a
Wallet digest
Activity score
35/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
27
Open notional
$2.35
Total PnL
$-77.70
Realised
$-3.05
Win rate
0%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$2.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
275 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
198 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?
24 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$2.04Aug 18, 12:11 UTC
- REDEEMHyperliquid Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.59Aug 18, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYHyperliquid Up or Down - August 18, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$1.04Aug 18, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$1.08Aug 11, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.51Aug 11, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$5.18Aug 11, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 11, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$2.13Aug 11, 04:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$9.52Aug 11, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$2.13Aug 11, 04:22 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$1.12Aug 11, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$2.11Aug 11, 04:17 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - August 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.47Aug 11, 04:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$2.05Aug 11, 02:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.20Aug 4, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$1.02Aug 4, 07:27 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$0.08Aug 4, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$1.05Aug 4, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win on 2026-07-19?$5.19Jul 19, 00:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win on 2026-07-14?$6.84Jul 15, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Argentina win on 2026-07-15?$6.45Jul 15, 23:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
46/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 26 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
26 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 02:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 18, 12:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.