0x62080f01693c0924f9cbdd3a64077fd0bcc18ccf
0x62080f01693c0924f9cbdd3a64077fd0bcc18ccf
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$31.30
Total PnL
$-28.13
Realised
$2.18
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?
11 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 9, 2026$11.30
$7.23
- NO
Will "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?
5 shares @ 84.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$5.00
$0.75
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?
5 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.00
$1.40
- NO
Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
5 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.03
- NO
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
5 shares @ 95.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.22
- YES
Will "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
1046 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?
727 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.36
- YES
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of March?
455 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.73
- YES
Will "Virgin River: Season 7" be the top global Netflix show this week?
261 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.13
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on March 30?
125 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 6, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$0.00Apr 6, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?$0.00Apr 6, 19:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?$0.00Apr 6, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Elizabeth Taylor" get 3 million or more views in the first week?$4.07Apr 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill March 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?$4.36Apr 4, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 06:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on April 1?$0.00Apr 3, 06:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$0.00Apr 1, 15:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,600 in March?$5.00Apr 1, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$0.00Apr 1, 07:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran take military action against a Gulf State on March 24, 2026?$5.00Apr 1, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Hoppers" 4th Weekend Box Office be greater than 13m?$0.00Apr 1, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$3.96Mar 31, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.02Mar 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.02Mar 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.02Mar 31, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "KPop Demon Hunters" be the top global Netflix movie this week?$0.12Mar 30, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $2.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 27, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 6, 19:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.