Candid-Millimeter-Hub
0x620d7e06ce27d16532c061eba9b46c7e1833c67f
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.0M
Realised
$3.8K
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5421471 shares @ 18.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.0M
- YES
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
101417 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-7.4K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
9315 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.5K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
8227 shares @ 12.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-999.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
6025 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
4374 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-499.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
3859 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-599.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
3456 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
3409 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-400.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
2913 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$0.00
$-616.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.00Jul 22, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$52.13Jul 22, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$106.00Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$209.80Jul 22, 16:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$209.63Jul 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$209.24Jul 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$209.42Jul 22, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$78.39Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$134.31Jul 22, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$108.16Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$104.14Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$211.43Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$211.00Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$211.49Jul 22, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$104.90Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$210.86Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$210.98Jul 22, 16:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$2.90Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$41.47Jul 22, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$211.51Jul 22, 16:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$52.6K
Trades
1
Buy share
100%
Window
Jul 8, 19:40 UTC → Jul 12, 01:14 UTC
- BUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.0K@20¢Jul 12, 01:14 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 7 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.0K
1 trades
Buy share
100%
Sample
limited
7 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
$52.6K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $130.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 15:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 16:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.