Icy-Parchment
0x6212cd05d99244d0f7c46fffa86145fbaa43da4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$20.57
Total PnL
$0.85
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?
6 shares @ 89.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.57
$0.59
- NO
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 99.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$4.94
$0.03
- NO
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
5 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$4.53
$0.12
- NO
Will Trump deport 750,000 or more people in 2025?
2 shares @ 97.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.25
$0.05
- NO
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.76
$0.05
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.52
$0.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$0.00Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$0.00Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?$1.08Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMUS forces in Iran in 2025?$1.11Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall in 2025?$1.32Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.37Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill MetaMask launch a token in 2025?$1.98Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by December 31?$2.67Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- REDEEMCerebras IPO in 2025?$2.72Jan 23, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$1.40Jan 21, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?$1.51Jan 21, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$3.00Jan 21, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYNicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$1.91Jan 21, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$3.01Jan 21, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$2.80Dec 20, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations by March 31?$1.71Dec 20, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYThailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?$1.60Dec 20, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.78Dec 20, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?$2.21Dec 20, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces in Iran in 2025?$1.10Dec 12, 02:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $2.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 31, 17:07 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 23, 13:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.