0x6216afe19506009a0014ffce6b625c80b94e1bd4
0x6216afe19506009a0014ffce6b625c80b94e1bd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$217.49
Win rate
71%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the match not air?
1300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will Michael Olise score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
560 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.04
- NO
Will 4+ matches go to extra time during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
532 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-21.13
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
500 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-28.00
- MAYBE
Counter-Strike: maybe vs Tricksters (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 Playoffs
411 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 9, 2026$0.00
$-115.84
- YES
Nicolás González: 1+ goals
400 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-8.40
- YES
Will Aurélien Tchouaméni score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-13.30
- YES
Will Eberechi Eze score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-49.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
300 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.80
- YES
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
286 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
Recent activity
- REWARD$4.69Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- REDEEMSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds$111.68Jul 31, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Marlins vs. New York Mets AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds$21.82Jul 30, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYSan Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds$22.88Jul 30, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas AND Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau$34.23Jul 30, 08:54 UTC
- REDEEMMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants AND Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$61.08Jul 29, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds AND New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$98.03Jul 29, 06:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants AND Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics$21.86Jul 28, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMMubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverry$40.19Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants AND Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres$24.73Jul 28, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYChicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals AND Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels$27.61Jul 28, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds AND New York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox$22.85Jul 28, 22:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Andres Martin AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Tomas Etcheverry$22.50Jul 28, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Learner Tien AND Mubadala Citi DC Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Tommy Paul$21.40Jul 28, 13:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas AND Bonn: Max Dahlin vs Matteo Martineau$11.37Jul 28, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMRosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$10.00Jul 28, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMPFC CSKA Sofia vs. Botev Plovdiv: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$40.00Jul 28, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYPFC CSKA Sofia vs. Botev Plovdiv: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$21.60Jul 27, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYPFC CSKA Sofia vs. Botev Plovdiv: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$19.60Jul 27, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRosenborg BK vs. Fredrikstad FK: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$9.95Jul 27, 17:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $13.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 08:02 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.