Cheerful-Manufacturing
0x621918063b7d57e142f09adf2d57ce245c894928
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$17.54
Total PnL
$-32.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$17.54
$7.54
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
133 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
49 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will New Zealand win on 2025-09-09?
37 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-9.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$10.00Mar 24, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Feb 4, 08:07 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.99Feb 4, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$10.00Jan 6, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$23.46Sep 29, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill New Zealand win on 2025-09-09?$9.98Sep 9, 05:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$20.00Aug 30, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$20.00Aug 30, 11:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $14.78
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 30, 11:48 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 08:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".