Foolhardy-Toe
0x622be8050428b8e244489670528a259069498b76
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$5.00
Total PnL
$-530.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$5.00
$0.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
153 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.53
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
142 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-82.61
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
107 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
50 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-27.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
50 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
44 shares @ 54.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
44 shares @ 54.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-23.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
38 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 21:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$4.99Jun 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$4.95Jun 18, 20:25 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - June 18, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$4.95Jun 18, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 19:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$4.95Jun 18, 18:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$4.95Jun 18, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMDogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$4.95Jun 18, 17:54 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$4.98Jun 18, 17:14 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.00Jun 18, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$4.95Jun 18, 16:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
24/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $4.72
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 04:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 21:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.