Distorted-Someone
0x62312b77cd9e56d08cf998af4653eaefc6011e6b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-37.08
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- FURIA
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will "Big Brother" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- OG
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Tanker" during Monday press conference?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Migrant Crime" this week? (March 22)$1.00Mar 18, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 18, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 14, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYNets vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?$1.00Mar 14, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 11?$0.92Mar 11, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 17:41 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?$0.00Mar 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$1.00Mar 11, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 11?$1.00Mar 11, 17:34 UTC
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 10?$9.09Mar 11, 17:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?$1.00Mar 11, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record?$1.00Mar 11, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill February 2026 be the 2nd hottest on record?$1.00Mar 11, 15:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Big Brother" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 15)$1.00Mar 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on March 11?$0.17Mar 11, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on March 10?$1.00Mar 11, 00:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 10, 00:49 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 21:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.