Practical-Surplus
0x6236a163db74732a2004c0c162d8536dbf2d15f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$8.67
Total PnL
$-30.6K
Realised
$-177.41
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Barcelona win La Liga?
9 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$8.67
$3.90
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
150581 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-5.8K
- YES
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
67755 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?
65763 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-571.88
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and a Republican win the Presidency?
61180 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-4.4K
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?
41021 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-917.84
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 September meeting?
27419 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-443.45
- YES
GOP wins popular vote by 4-5%?
21068 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-546.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?
18955 shares @ 52.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 18, 2024$0.00
$-10.0K
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the Western Conference?
10212 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.4K
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$215.25Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference?$213.69Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the UEFA Champions League?$292.89Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the UEFA Champions League?$330.00Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League?$380.00Mar 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Golden State Warriors win the Western Conference?$527.57Mar 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Denver Nuggets win the Western Conference?$1.5KMar 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the UEFA Champions League?$1.7KMar 14, 12:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.07Mar 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.28Mar 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.50Mar 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$1.93Mar 14, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$2.35Mar 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$2.78Mar 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$3.21Mar 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$3.85Mar 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win La Liga?$222.93Mar 14, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$4.71Mar 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$4.28Mar 14, 11:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?$66.55Mar 14, 11:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $342.80
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 4, 12:57 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 12:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".