Old-Fashioned-Check
0x623dc878ed424c5df4f370347c0de8effe4daac0
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$326.92
Total PnL
$-13.68
Realised
$-0.35
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
319 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$319.12
$0.32
- NO
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
3 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$3.46
$0.01
- NO
Hezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?
2 shares @ 97.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Hezbollah disarm in 2025?
1 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.20
$0.20
- NO
Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
13 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$318.80Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$353.60Feb 26, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$357.40Feb 26, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?$11.00Feb 26, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bryce Hall win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$3.00Dec 10, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAhmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYHezbollah strike on Israel by September 30?$2.00Sep 26, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hezbollah disarm in 2025?$1.00Sep 26, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran Nuke in 2025?$1.04Sep 26, 01:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.10Sep 26, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLLe Pen sentence reduced in 2025?$1.02Sep 26, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?$1.16Sep 26, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$2.22Sep 26, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLe Pen sentence reduced in 2025?$1.00Apr 2, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYHoward Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce before July?$1.00Apr 2, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran Nuke in 2025?$1.00Apr 2, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$2.00Apr 2, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan in 2025?$1.00Apr 2, 10:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicolas Claxton lead the NBA in Rebounds?$1.00Apr 2, 10:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fernanda Torres win Best Actress at the 2025 Oscars?$1.10Mar 28, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $28.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 31, 13:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 08:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.