0x6243d6aca44fa44e5c4a0b36a981b3f28c654211
0x6243d6aca44fa44e5c4a0b36a981b3f28c654211
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$71.55
Total PnL
$-0.99
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on July 31?
44 shares @ 11.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 31?
44 shares @ 11.3¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 25°C on July 30?
19 shares @ 20.7¢·now 22.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.34
$0.34
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on July 30?
13 shares @ 30.0¢·now 30.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?
11 shares @ 30.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.98
$0.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 30?
10 shares @ 39.7¢·now 39.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.98
$-0.02
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.26
$0.26
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 30?
9 shares @ 33.3¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$3.02
$0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 30?
10 shares @ 20.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.24
$0.24
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 30?
19 shares @ 10.7¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$2.14
$0.14
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.15Jul 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.42Jul 29, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 30?$1.03Jul 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$0.33Jul 29, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$0.05Jul 29, 19:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.03Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 30?$0.28Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.06Jul 29, 19:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.03Jul 29, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.03Jul 29, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.12Jul 29, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$0.05Jul 29, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on July 31?$0.17Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?$1.04Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 31?$1.04Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on July 31?$1.04Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 31?$1.03Jul 29, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31?$3.44Jul 29, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 31?$1.02Jul 29, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on July 30?$1.03Jul 29, 18:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
20% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 16:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 19:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.