Skeletal-Granola
0x6245afcacf4c99f7fc6e20741c799963926c97e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
84
Open notional
$15.71
Total PnL
$-787.73
Realised
$0.70
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 84- YES
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?
15 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$15.00
$5.10
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.71
$-0.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?
787 shares @ 26.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-205.34
- YES
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?
221 shares @ 22.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-48.83
- YES
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?
219 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 16, 2026$0.00
$-46.00
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?
169 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-18?
152 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
105 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-30?
101 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-19?$10.00Apr 19, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$30.00Apr 15, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$10.00Apr 15, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$25.68Apr 15, 13:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$89.68Apr 15, 13:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$9.86Apr 14, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?$50.00Apr 13, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?$10.00Apr 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$20.00Apr 13, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$100.00Apr 8, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$14.14Apr 8, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$100.00Apr 8, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Apr 8, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$10.00Apr 8, 13:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$17.32Apr 8, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$5.00Apr 7, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Apr 5, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Apr 5, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?$10.00Apr 5, 10:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$10.00Apr 5, 09:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 19, 15:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.