Knowing-Vase
0x62460e58e8890159c02b024a32281a8bb81a790d
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-438.21
Realised
$30.48
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1858 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-23.07
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?
708 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
302 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-32.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
219 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-64.48
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
198 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-38.83
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
102 shares @ 58.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 3, 2025$0.00
$-59.02
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
100 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
88 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-6.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$0.00Dec 7, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$1.20Dec 7, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.20Dec 7, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.07Dec 7, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$1.06Dec 7, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$3.93Dec 7, 21:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.94Dec 7, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 7, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$3.86Dec 7, 17:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$0.06Dec 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?$0.16Dec 7, 17:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$3.40Dec 7, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$1.00Dec 7, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?$1.00Dec 7, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$3.00Dec 7, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?$5.00Dec 7, 01:13 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Dec 5, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$24.34Dec 5, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$6.34Dec 5, 21:09 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$6.35Dec 5, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 5, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.50Dec 5, 21:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 22:24 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 7, 22:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".