Classic-Inflammation
0x624e22990e11c3afd9c21d945e8706436670b1a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
3135 shares @ 47.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.1K
$1.6K
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
7692 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
6667 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-999.99
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
5000 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
4859 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1000.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
3333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?
935 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
846 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4800 and $4900 at the end of 2025?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?
600 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.05May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.09May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05May 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.06May 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 1, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 30, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Apr 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Apr 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 24, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 22, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Apr 21, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 22, 00:47 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.