Miniature-Lava
0x624fa809046c1cbdae29d7716b21ed4ec4ca0d08
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-763.23
Realised
$62.82
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?
41070 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-675.03
- YES
Will Samuel Doria Medina win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?
1239 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-88.19
- YES
Will Elon tweet 365–379 times August 8–August 15?
814 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 380–394 times August 8–August 15?
342 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
290 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon tweet 425–439 times August 8–August 15?
107 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 9PM ET
49 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.83
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 01:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.06Jun 12, 01:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$0.00Jun 12, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.33Jun 12, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$1.86Jun 12, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$5.25Jun 12, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$5.07Jun 12, 00:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$418.94Nov 27, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$19.18Nov 16, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$76.00Nov 16, 00:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$20.00Nov 15, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$3.43Nov 13, 08:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.40Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.64Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.18Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.80Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.22Nov 13, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.40Nov 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.45Nov 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Franco Parisi win the Chilean presidential election?$0.52Nov 13, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $12.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 13, 06:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 01:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.