Creepy-Parachute
0x6250882868116d6c42de60d13255f0437f99f0d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$82.09
Total PnL
$-18.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
74 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$74.44
$2.23
- YES
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
5 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$5.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Bayern Munich win the Bundesliga?
2 shares @ 86.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$2.33
$0.33
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?
15 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
9 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.40
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
6 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYElon out of Trump administration before July?$5.40Apr 25, 15:00 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$5.56Apr 25, 14:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$72.21Mar 15, 14:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Liverpool win the UEFA Champions League?$0.00Mar 15, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$0.00Mar 15, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$19.61Mar 15, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$31.75Mar 15, 14:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?$6.41Feb 26, 14:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Union win the most seats in the next German election?$11.11Feb 26, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?$11.00Feb 18, 12:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be a member of the Trump administration? $0.00Feb 10, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$11.34Jan 26, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Jan 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Jan 24, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the SPD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Jan 24, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $103,000 on January 24?$11.00Jan 24, 14:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$10.00Jan 24, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by January 31?$0.00Jan 24, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill RFK be a member of the Trump administration? $1.09Jan 24, 14:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Biden finish his term?$13.49Jan 24, 14:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 07:34 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 25, 15:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.