Functional-Dare
0x625ec7423ad7d2a1bf82196798cf4d9957ae3b86
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
47
Open notional
$121.16
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-0.90
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%?
111 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$108.13
$5.36
- NO
Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$13.03
$0.03
- OVER
AC Monza vs. Venezia FC: O/U 4.5
785 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-141.27
- JAZZ
Jazz vs. Nuggets
716 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 28, 2026$0.00
$-121.75
- YES
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 6 be between 80 and 90?
689 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-17.02
- NO
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $350?
361 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-25.26
- NO
Will Meta (META) close above $560 on April 6?
318 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-85.81
- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) close at $265-$270 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?
295 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-35.37
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of March 23 above $100?
254 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-40.59
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,500 on January 17?
245 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-35.30
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$13.00Jun 8, 14:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$415.00Apr 8, 21:25 UTC
- REDEEMExact Score: Le Havre AC 3 - 2 AJ Auxerre?$162.90Apr 6, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Love on the Spectrum: Season 4" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$344.45Apr 4, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $560 on April 6?$85.81Apr 3, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Aarhus GF (-2.5)$19.56Apr 2, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the median home value in New York City be between $585,000 and $590,000 on April 1?$438.07Apr 2, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Le Havre AC 3 - 2 AJ Auxerre?$153.13Apr 1, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-29?$126.73Apr 1, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the median home value in New York City be between $585,000 and $590,000 on April 1?$332.93Mar 28, 00:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 23 above $240?$389.04Mar 27, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: SD Eibar (-1.5)$103.78Mar 26, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iwaki FC win on 2026-03-29?$124.20Mar 26, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Granada CF (-2.5)$25.43Mar 25, 21:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) finish week of March 23 above $240?$354.03Mar 24, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 23 above $320?$13.24Mar 24, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 23 above $350?$25.26Mar 23, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Nuggets$121.75Mar 23, 04:22 UTC
- REDEEMKyōto Sanga FC vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 4.5$580.72Mar 22, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google (GOOGL) close at $315-$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 23 – Mar 27?$14.86Mar 22, 12:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $105.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 16, 07:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 14:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.