Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-102.37

Realised

$-3.17

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 43

YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on March 25?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
252 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 25?
202 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 25?
192 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
100 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 25?
40 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
37 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 26, 2026
$0.00
$-3.00
DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 24, 2026
$0.00
$-2.00

Recent activity

TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$6.71Mar 27, 01:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$5.00Mar 27, 01:21 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$5.00Mar 27, 01:18 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 10:32 UTC
REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$4.70Mar 26, 10:32 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Mar 26, 10:32 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 10:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$5.00Mar 26, 10:10 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 10:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 09:31 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$4.56Mar 26, 09:29 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$5.18Mar 26, 09:29 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5.72Mar 26, 09:29 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET$5.00Mar 26, 09:22 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$12.15Mar 26, 09:15 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 26, 09:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 08:36 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 08:31 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 08:27 UTC
TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 26, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$3.00Mar 26, 06:16 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity41 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry53 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk45 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 41
Avg trade size: $3.75
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 25, 03:51 UTC
Last active: Mar 27, 01:21 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 13:48:23 UTC·src:Polymarket Data