Juvenile-Destroyer
0x6262d48483d36a44f3fbdceafb6203800997c3cb
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$15.24
Total PnL
$-155.57
Realised
$-1.36
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?
11 shares @ 95.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$10.58
$0.48
- YES
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
3 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$2.53
$0.28
- NO
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?
1 shares @ 97.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2025$1.13
$0.03
- NO
Trump's January 10 sentencing pushed back?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2025$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
264 shares @ 51.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-135.00
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
40 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYU.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?$2.25Sep 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?$10.10Sep 30, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYHamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?$1.10Jan 10, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump's January 10 sentencing pushed back?$1.00Jan 10, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMNo Ethereum all time high in 2024?$0.38Jan 10, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMTrump sentenced to no prison time?$1.12Jan 10, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill SK win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.32Jan 10, 09:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$1.74Jan 10, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$11.09Oct 14, 19:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $62,000 on October 18?$1.50Oct 14, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$11.00Oct 7, 11:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 30-39 times September 27-October 4?$0.00Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMAnother GTA 6 trailer released by October 4?$0.00Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Binance or Bybit list $MOODENG by Friday?$0.00Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,600 on October 4?$0.00Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Silver Bulletin odds >55% Friday?$0.26Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMAnother Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$0.52Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $155 on October 4?$3.11Oct 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance favorability >40% by Friday Oct 11?$0.07Oct 4, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $155 on October 4?$3.10Oct 4, 09:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $29.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 25, 09:52 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 30, 11:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.