Formal-Popcorn
0x62684acf30f6bcaf38c7a4ac407d09ea5a2fc403
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$1.26
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$299.32
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
20 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.26
$-1.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
4425 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-255.68
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
2553 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-98.88
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET
2000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-50.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
1832 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-236.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
1396 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-144.71
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
1389 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-179.23
- NO
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
1003 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?
1000 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
1000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 7, 2026$0.00
$-19.65
Recent activity
- REWARD$1.27Jan 29, 00:01 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$53.59Jan 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$398.17Jan 28, 05:05 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$17.00Jan 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$84.71Jan 28, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$2.63Jan 28, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$16.46Jan 28, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$92.62Jan 28, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$0.14Jan 28, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$16.00Jan 28, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$212.94Jan 28, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$378.51Jan 25, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$374.30Jan 25, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$10.39Jan 24, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$315.10Jan 24, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$11.91Jan 24, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$0.09Jan 24, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK or Germany strike Iran by January 31?$22.10Jan 24, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$102.00Jan 22, 01:45 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet access restored in Iran by Friday?$1.12Jan 22, 01:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $50.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 22, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 29, 00:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".