Kindly-Ironclad
0x626ab0b74f986ae52ce1ef806013156c15ae9918
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$455.40
Total PnL
$-269.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
225 shares @ 88.7¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$211.94
$11.94
- NO
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?
154 shares @ 97.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$153.95
$3.95
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
100 shares @ 62.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$89.50
$27.50
- NO
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
303 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
125 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
50 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?
49 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?
2 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$109.89Mar 14, 17:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$100.00Feb 28, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Feb 26, 12:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Tesla" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?$1.00Feb 26, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$100.00Feb 26, 12:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$0.00Feb 26, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?$100.00Feb 26, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $690b on February 28?$1.00Feb 26, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk’s net worth be between $670b and $680b on February 28?$1.00Feb 26, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$100.00Feb 26, 11:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$645.16Feb 26, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?$40.00Feb 25, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$100.00Feb 24, 20:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.45Feb 24, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.00Feb 22, 15:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$30.00Feb 22, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?$600.00Feb 22, 15:15 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$0.00Feb 22, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYOdds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 30% by March 31?$50.00Feb 22, 14:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $75.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 14:26 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 17:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.