Brave-Lollipop
0x627fd47446d44be7a815e8cc01f6bbaabcc86f50
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-48.42
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 15?
1150 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- YES
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 100m?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on April 12?
510 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.02
- YES
Will Paprika Recipe Manager 3 be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on February 13?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will "Ella McCay" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 2.5m and 3m?
286 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?
100 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.40
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
31 shares @ 83.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on November 20?
10 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-8.70
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$77.08Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 2?$77.01Jun 2, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$77.08May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$77.00May 26, 12:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$77.08May 25, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 May 18-24?$77.01May 24, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$77.08May 19, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$77.00May 19, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$71.07May 15, 19:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$6.01May 13, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$6.00May 13, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$3.21May 13, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$71.00May 13, 12:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.50May 13, 12:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$80.16May 13, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$1.50May 8, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$80.01May 6, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.01May 6, 10:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$80.08May 6, 10:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?$1.00May 4, 09:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $57.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 12, 11:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 18:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".