Courteous-Stepfather
0x628227f9aaf1d5dd40151315d6350d4060bb3ea8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$645.53
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?
200 shares @ 98.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$198.10
$2.10
- NO
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?
187 shares @ 61.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$181.60
$67.20
- YES
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?
181 shares @ 94.8¢·now 95.8¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$173.07
$1.78
- NO
Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?
41 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$40.18
$0.37
- NO
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?
46 shares @ 84.5¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$38.77
$0.02
- NO
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
14 shares @ 93.2¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.81
$0.76
- YES
30-year mortgage rate below 6% by December 31?
396 shares @ 61.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-244.65
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
382 shares @ 83.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-319.85
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?
301 shares @ 83.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-250.00
- YES
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026
300 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-138.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla launch robotaxis in California by June 30?$14.40Jun 13, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$13.39Jun 13, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by June 30?$25.51Jun 13, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?$13.08Jun 13, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?$81.83Jun 13, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$30.77Jun 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (LOW) $800B by June 30?$9.05Jun 13, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$98.00Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 24?$98.00Jun 13, 06:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?$89.82Jun 13, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$130.00Jun 12, 22:21 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$700.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$120.00Jun 12, 22:20 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$632.90Jun 12, 22:19 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$420.00Jun 12, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?$710.00Jun 12, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?$123.75Jun 3, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?$679.14Jun 3, 10:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?$400.50Jun 3, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$200.00Jun 3, 10:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $204.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.