Bossy-Rostrum
0x62829a73ebc3a81806b19bfa1a985d316ad32726
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$62.96
Total PnL
$-78.30
Realised
$-1.55
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in March?
11 shares @ 93.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$11.24
$0.73
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
7 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.57
$0.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 33°F or below on March 18?
6 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$6.44
$0.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 6°C on March 19?
6 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$5.85
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on March 19?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$5.83
$0.35
- NO
Will Solana dip to $50 in March?
6 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$5.68
$0.40
- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
6 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.57
$0.33
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$0.45
- NO
Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$5.00
$0.20
- NO
Will 10-14 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
4 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$4.36
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be 92°F or higher on March 19?$5.48Mar 18, 12:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 18-19°F on March 17?$5.85Mar 18, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?$0.50Mar 17, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on March 16?$1.00Mar 17, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 17?$0.50Mar 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 3 Winner$0.50Mar 17, 15:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner$0.50Mar 17, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 18?$4.05Mar 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on March 18?$4.75Mar 17, 09:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 26-27°F on March 17?$4.85Mar 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$0.25Mar 17, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chicago be between 18-19°F on March 17?$5.44Mar 16, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Omega vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage$0.50Mar 16, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Ursa vs BIG Academy (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #2 Playoffs$0.50Mar 16, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.25Mar 16, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$0.50Mar 16, 20:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYGame Handicap: G2 (-2.5) vs Team Secret Whales (+2.5)$0.50Mar 16, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 Esports vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - First Stand Group A$0.50Mar 16, 19:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on March 17?$0.25Mar 16, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?$0.50Mar 16, 19:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 16, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 12:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.