Growling-Hay
0x6285e7a6a2ddbb685b923b1fea86b54ab8df5a70
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$137.40
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-855.77
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
133 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$133.13
$0.13
- LOTTE GIANTS
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
6 shares @ 40.0¢·now 68.3¢·exp May 14, 2026$4.27
$1.77
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 20?
2100 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on March 6?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 25?
1000 shares @ 26.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-264.21
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 12?
1000 shares @ 26.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$0.00
$-265.26
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?
900 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?
850 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?$133.00Aug 11, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$132.13Aug 11, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?$132.01Jul 10, 08:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$132.13Jul 10, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.60 in June?$132.01Jun 30, 11:09 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$6.18Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on May 31?$12.84Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$14.11Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mistral have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$14.51Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$85.09Jun 30, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in May?$85.01May 31, 08:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: RED Canids vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffs$2.14May 31, 08:30 UTC
- REDEEMWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$7.73May 31, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$79.08May 31, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$79.01May 30, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWorld Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway$6.82May 30, 12:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C or higher on May 31?$12.80May 30, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$99.01May 30, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$98.91May 29, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Park Nam-choon win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$14.10May 29, 08:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $75.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 07:36 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 07:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.