Disguised-Soprano
0x6288a7c2f26dfba4b98e9d5fbca301bc9f81ac44
Wallet digest
Activity score
31/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.1K
Realised
$-595.97
Win rate
2%
199 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
1849 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
833 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
746 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
727 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-199.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
492 shares @ 89.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-438.12
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 2, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
485 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.85
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
459 shares @ 21.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.82
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
433 shares @ 67.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-291.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
385 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
384 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-99.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$12.48Aug 14, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$0.00Aug 14, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$6.30Aug 14, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$6.32Aug 14, 08:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$12.27Aug 13, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$10.43Aug 12, 18:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$28.23Aug 12, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$10.33Aug 12, 08:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$22.50Aug 11, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$10.29Aug 11, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$13.75Aug 11, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET$10.09Aug 11, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$0.00Aug 11, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.56Aug 11, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 10, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$5.13Aug 10, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$10.42Aug 10, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.23Aug 10, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET$5.10Aug 9, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$5.10Aug 9, 21:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
63/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
2% win rate over 199 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 28/100.
199 closed markets, 2% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $8.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 7, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 14, 08:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 199 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.