Stiff-Crush
0x629438379125bc67f5d7b62df08c307061ad33f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$447.45
Total PnL
$-218.32
Realised
$-0.32
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?
780 shares @ 65.3¢·now 39.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$304.96
$-204.06
- NO
Will Solana reach $180 by December 31, 2026?
110 shares @ 79.2¢·now 91.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$100.10
$12.98
- NO
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026?
44 shares @ 84.0¢·now 96.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$42.25
$5.30
- YES
Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 38.6¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.13
$-0.38
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 3?
555 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-19.42
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on July 3?
355 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-12.43
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 24, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 23, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 16, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jul 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $77.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 06:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.