Wallet profile

Near-Failure

0x629da223adfc9957329e02de95ae3d263f92756c

activity 53/100

Wallet digest

active

Activity score

53/100

Performance measurable

Open positions

200

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-358.1K

Realised

$4.8K

Win rate

57%

101 closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 200

Recent activity

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

Ledger volume

$42.7K

Trades

2

Buy share

0%

Window

Jun 7, 19:10 UTC → Jun 25, 02:47 UTC

Last 30 days · daily volumemax $0.00

Wallet edge sanity

Attention signal

84/100
read-only

Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.

Required before treating wallet flow as useful

Resolved-only performance

57% win rate over 101 closed markets.

Copy-lag simulation

A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.

Liquidity and exit

Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.

Resolution-source risk

The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.

Survivorship bias

Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.

Wallet intelligence filter

Watch only

29/100
no PredictFoliopaper-only

Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.

Wallet signal
pass

50 live trades, 5 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.

Resolved-only track record
pass

101 closed markets, 57% win rate.

Cost / slippage
missing

No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.

Resolution risk
missing

No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.

Market liquidity
missing

No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.

Copy-lag simulation
missing

No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.

Paper-only attribution
missing

No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

0%

Sample

limited

5 ledger trades

Top market concentration

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?

$11.6K · 27% of recorded whale volume

Recorded market concentration

Exact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 DR Congo?27% of recorded volume$11.6KWill Mexico win on 2026-06-24?24% of recorded volume$10.3KSpread: Portugal (-4.5)20% of recorded volume$8.7K

Profile dimensions

Activity73 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence100 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry75 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk31 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time)
50
Avg trade size
$21.70
Top category
—
Category concentration
0%
First seen
Jul 28, 16:33 UTC
Last active
Jul 28, 16:50 UTC
Win rate sample
101 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

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updated 16:51:03 UTC·src:Polymarket Data