0x62a567275df0386bbc5f1f9b58c32737999f3365
0x62a567275df0386bbc5f1f9b58c32737999f3365
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$128.15
Total PnL
$17.18
Realised
$11.37
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will Apple (AAPL) Q3 Greater China revenue be above $18B?
48 shares @ 56.1¢·now 62.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$29.67
$2.80
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?
16 shares @ 37.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2026$16.19
$10.20
- NO
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $180B by July 31?
15 shares @ 79.0¢·now 77.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$11.69
$-0.30
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?
9 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$8.81
$2.82
- YES
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31?
18 shares @ 50.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.69
$-0.46
- YES
Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q2 total service revenues be above $19B?
8 shares @ 75.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$7.39
$1.40
- NO
Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $42B by July 31?
9 shares @ 63.7¢·now 82.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.20
$1.61
- NO
Will Stripe's valuation hit (LOW) $160B by July 31?
7 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$7.14
$1.15
- NO
Will Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.65B?
7 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$6.94
$3.61
- UP
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 14?
6 shares @ 33.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2026$6.18
$4.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.65B?$0.00Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$0.00Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 13?$0.00Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?$0.00Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.65B?$0.00Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$0.00Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 13?$0.00Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?$0.00Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 17:30 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.65B?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Goldman Sachs (GS) Q2 investment banking fees be above $2.85B?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 13?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of July 13 2026?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 11:30 UTC
- REDEEMNatural Gas (NG) Up or Down on July 14?$0.00Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Johnson & Johnson (JNJ) Q2 Innovation Medicine revenue be above $16.65B?$0.00Jul 22, 05:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 20, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 23:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.