Slimy-Rethinking
0x62b46e9af72c0ae64c1f14965ca0c32f565c3eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-50.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Seeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on November 14?
300 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 14, 2025$0.00
$-17.50
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 28-November 3?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- ANYONES LEGEND
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
27 shares @ 75.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 3?
25 shares @ 40.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$10.00Apr 13, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$3.20Mar 19, 12:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$5.39Jan 30, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$4.69Jan 23, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeeker FDV above $150M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 22, 02:47 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$6.66Nov 22, 01:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYOver $300M committed to the Monad public sale?$23.85Nov 20, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$2.00Nov 14, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$3.00Nov 14, 06:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$12.50Nov 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Nov 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$1.00Nov 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$35.00Nov 14, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$14.00Nov 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$1.00Nov 14, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on November 14?$34.00Nov 14, 03:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill the government shutdown end November 13?$10.00Nov 14, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$1.50Nov 13, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown end November 13?$7.70Nov 13, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of November 10 above $210?$0.35Nov 13, 05:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
47 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $12.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 3, 09:50 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 07:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.