Melodic-Picnic
0x62c55ebc4d759eca78cee6740a654e59d1a323e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-29.2K
Realised
$-14.0K
Win rate
0%
172 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 6PM ET
958 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-305.91
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
657 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-196.95
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - February 16, 11PM ET
639 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-261.32
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
519 shares @ 19.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-99.05
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
499 shares @ 20.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-100.35
- UP
Solana Up or Down - February 17, 2AM ET
464 shares @ 40.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-189.90
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
436 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-86.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
434 shares @ 41.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-179.51
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
428 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-180.07
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$0.31Jul 22, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET$3.68Jul 22, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$21.94Jul 22, 10:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$3.73Jul 22, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.27Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$0.97Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$2.76Jul 22, 10:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$17.20Jul 22, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$3.18Jul 22, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$3.59Jul 22, 08:44 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$8.16Jul 22, 07:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$16.49Jul 22, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$3.32Jul 22, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$2.99Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$3.22Jul 22, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.80Jul 22, 07:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$3.30Jul 22, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET$3.30Jul 22, 04:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
64/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 172 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 25/100.
172 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 05:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 11:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 172 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.