Insistent-Barley
0x62c6c82b267866eef6a2f0bf33f8eb66335855ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.1K
Realised
$-635.08
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- YES
Will Arsenal FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?
7232 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-513.63
- YES
Will Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?
5473 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?
4784 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-365.87
- 76ERS
Lakers vs. 76ers
4581 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-13?
3075 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-768.76
- YES
Will Paris Saint Germain vs. Atalanta end in a draw?
2920 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-583.93
- YES
Will FC Augsburg win on 2025-09-20?
1796 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 20, 2025$0.00
$-661.24
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16?
1595 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-335.00
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC vs. FC Lorient end in a draw?
1489 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-342.57
- DETROIT TIGERS
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)
1332 shares @ 29.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-391.34
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)$2.86Jun 9, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Washington Nationals (-2.5)$9.42Jun 9, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-2.5)$2.25Jun 4, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)$12.27Jun 3, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$1.00Jun 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$0.10Jun 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$0.08Jun 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$11.52Jun 3, 12:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$3.99Jun 3, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$51.85Jun 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$0.31Jun 3, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$6.81Jun 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$70.01Jun 2, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$91.21Jun 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$31.10Jun 2, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$62.19Jun 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$5.18Jun 2, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$5.18Jun 2, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$1.04Jun 2, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jang-woo win the 2026 Daejeon mayoral election?$1.04Jun 2, 17:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $15.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 01:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.