Wooden-Cod
0x62d1f9a019883ebd5d68fbaa7337d1450bc692a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$515.46
Total PnL
$-170.02
Realised
$-73.74
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
515 shares @ 58.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$515.46
$215.46
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
4954 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-46.49
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
1743 shares @ 9.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-166.45
- NO
Major cyberattack on Iran in June?
1600 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-17.25
- YES
Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?
740 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- NO
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?
191 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Iran x Israel conflict ends before July?
110 shares @ 46.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-51.14
- YES
Will Israel strike Syria on July 22?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Israel strike Syria on July 23?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.25
- YES
Will Israel strike Syria on July 19?
10 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$306.27Jul 15, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$5.00Jul 15, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?$10.00Jul 15, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?$15.00Jul 15, 19:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150K in July?$0.59Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Yemen before August?$5.00Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMHouthi strike on Israel before August?$5.00Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump increase sanctions on Russia before August?$5.00Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?$5.26Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran nuclear talks resume before August?$5.81Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill a hurricane make landfall in the US before August?$6.49Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $90K in July?$10.00Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMIsraeli parliament dissolved before August?$10.00Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Yunakivka before August?$10.00Aug 1, 07:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
14/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $16.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 18, 22:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.