0x62e3a94f3c8cdfcf85fabbfcd49e29c0913e9696
0x62e3a94f3c8cdfcf85fabbfcd49e29c0913e9696
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$180.60
Total PnL
$-885.01
Realised
$-8.95
Win rate
27%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
35 shares @ 77.4¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.02
$4.92
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
57 shares @ 29.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.90
$-2.81
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
466 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$11.85
$4.85
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 19?
24 shares @ 25.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jun 19, 2026$10.03
$4.13
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in June?
35 shares @ 20.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$9.63
$2.63
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 36.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.43
$2.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
58 shares @ 16.9¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.37
$-1.37
- OVER
Altmaier vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
23 shares @ 30.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$7.58
$0.58
- BRANDON NAKASHIMA
HSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima
25 shares @ 28.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$7.38
$0.37
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
126 shares @ 5.4¢·now 5.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.34
$0.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashima$7.00Jun 19, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYDublin: Kyrian Jacquet vs Henry Searle$7.00Jun 19, 06:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrass Court Championships: Jessica Pegula vs Madison Keys$7.00Jun 19, 04:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$5.00Jun 18, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham 2: Zhizhen Zhang vs Roman Safiullin$15.90Jun 18, 20:08 UTC
- REDEEMHSBC Championships: Rinky Hijikata vs Jiri Lehecka$27.99Jun 18, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYHalle Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Felix Auger-Aliassime$7.00Jun 18, 19:14 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?$33.95Jun 18, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAltmaier vs. Medvedev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$7.00Jun 18, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYDublin: Titouan Droguet vs Jurij Rodionov$7.00Jun 18, 18:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?$2.15Jun 18, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?$3.24Jun 18, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on June 19?$0.63Jun 18, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?$0.10Jun 18, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 19?$3.91Jun 18, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$5.00Jun 18, 16:27 UTC
- REDEEMNottingham 2: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Remy Bertola$16.70Jun 18, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$2.03Jun 18, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMDublin: Grigor Dimitrov vs Kyrian Jacquet$0.00Jun 18, 13:34 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
27% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 40/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $4.42
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 19:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 19, 07:53 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.