Firsthand-Clay
0x62e88161cbfa3a9d05c0a985f7c24f6d0ecc129a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$62.57
Total PnL
$-181.55
Realised
$-1.50
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
54 shares @ 56.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$33.48
$3.48
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?
76 shares @ 29.0¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.17
$-6.83
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?
157 shares @ 27.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.83
$-36.86
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
33 shares @ 6.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,400 by end of June?
150 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Epic Games have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
104 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
90 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.40
$-0.59
- YES
Will Perplexity have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?
101 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.40
$-0.60
- YES
Will Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?
69 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.38
$-1.62
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$4.74Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?$2.08Jun 13, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stripe have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$0.96Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neuralink have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kraken have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Epic Games have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Databricks have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canva have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anduril have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$2.08Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the highest private market valuation on June 30?$1.04Jun 13, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second highest private market valuation on June 30?$49.25Jun 13, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?$4.02Jun 12, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$22.62Jun 12, 01:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Math AI model at the end of June 2026?$30.53Jun 12, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$5.16Jun 12, 01:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $16.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 15:32 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 19:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.